Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.052181 0.059544 0.067085 0.075354 0.084136 0.093155 0.103093
2025-10-05 0.044409 0.055656 0.067705 0.081435 0.096519 0.112474 0.130519
2025-10-12 0.035497 0.048641 0.063315 0.080593 0.100102 0.121206 0.145536
2025-10-19 0.030251 0.044836 0.061696 0.082076 0.105571 0.131410 0.161607
2025-10-26 0.025559 0.041023 0.059520 0.082432 0.109342 0.139362 0.174854
2025-11-02 0.022188 0.038396 0.058399 0.083709 0.113903 0.147984 0.188650
2025-11-09 0.018810 0.035352 0.056455 0.083736 0.116785 0.154507 0.199912
2025-11-16 0.014882 0.031082 0.052609 0.081143 0.116311 0.156948 0.206323
2025-11-23 0.011661 0.027374 0.049173 0.078798 0.115920 0.159312 0.212490
2025-11-30 0.010062 0.025874 0.048528 0.079864 0.119581 0.166367 0.224034
2025-12-07 0.008839 0.024804 0.048365 0.081470 0.123844 0.174092 0.236324
2025-12-14 0.008062 0.024368 0.049027 0.084108 0.129357 0.183285 0.250321
2025-12-21 0.006734 0.022880 0.048217 0.084920 0.132781 0.190229 0.262005
2025-12-28 0.007009 0.024373 0.051815 0.091702 0.143819 0.206457 0.284791
2026-01-04 0.005462 0.022169 0.049808 0.090837 0.145108 0.210849 0.293523
2026-01-11 0.004646 0.021248 0.049646 0.092420 0.149473 0.218947 0.306636
2026-01-18 0.003713 0.019866 0.048665 0.092800 0.152239 0.225056 0.317347
2026-01-25 0.003074 0.018998 0.048421 0.094160 0.156238 0.232652 0.329823
2026-02-01 0.002332 0.017644 0.047286 0.094189 0.158452 0.238011 0.339580
2026-02-08 0.001402 0.015301 0.044302 0.091427 0.156889 0.238601 0.343500
2026-02-15 0.000745 0.013243 0.041595 0.088927 0.155571 0.239420 0.347635
2026-02-22 0.000513 0.012613 0.041373 0.090064 0.159091 0.246282 0.359105
2026-03-01 0.000361 0.012217 0.041548 0.091775 0.163374 0.254098 0.371738